Will the housing plan offered by President Barack Obama this week be enough to overcome the housing downturn? Some big guns in the world of economics have doubts.
The plan seeks to stem foreclsoures by helping home owners who are still current on their mortgage but at risk of defaulting. (For more details: Read What's in the Foreclosure Plan)
"It's a positive step in the right direction," says economist Mark Zandi of Moody's Economy.com. "I think it will be much more successful than those that preceded it. I worry that it's not going to be successful fast enough."
Likewise, Dean Baker, a housing specialist with the Center for Economic and Policy Research, said: "I'm not impressed. There are some good things in there. I think giving servicers incentives is a good thing. But it's mostly money for banks, not money for home owners. … The banks still decide who gets into this, and that's been a problem all along."
Patrick Newport, an economist with IHS-Global Insight, is also skeptical. He pointed out that the number of people who are underwater on their mortgages has risen to 15 million, but the Obama initiative aims to help only 7 million to 9 million,
"Obama's plan is an ambitious one, more ambitious than analysts had been led to expect," he says. "Whether it will stop the bloodletting, however, time will tell.”
Source: Los Angeles Times, Maura Reynolds (02/19/2009)
Showing posts with label stimulus. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stimulus. Show all posts
Monday, February 23, 2009
What's In the Foreclosure Prevention Plan
The Obama administration yesterday released its long-awaited plan to stem foreclosures. It's organized into three categories:
1.) Help for home owners making their payments but at risk of default and foreclosure.
Home owners with a Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac loan would be eligible to refinance as long as their mortgage doesn't exceed 105 percent of the home's current market value. Currently owners need to have at least 20 percent equity. Potential impact: 4-5 million households.
2.) Help for home owners already in default and in need of loan modification.
For lenders that voluntarily agree to lower a borrower's payment so that it makes up no more than 38 percent of the borrower's income, the government would share the cost of lowering the mortgage burden to 31 percent of income. Incentives to lenders to participate include a $1,000 payment.
Borrowers can receive up to $1,000 as an incentive to stay current on their new mortgage. Still in the works is a proposed provision that would allow bankruptcy judges to require loan modification (known as a cramdown) as part of a household's restructuring. That provision requires legislation by Congress. Estimated potential impact: 3-4 million households.
3.) Doubled resources to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
To encourage investors to buy the secondary market companies' mortgage-backed securities, the government explicitly backstops them to up to $400 billion, twice the current amount.
The plan does not provide help to investors or to home owners who are in trouble with a second home, nor does it apply to homeowners whose mortgage is part of a private-label mortgage security that is not backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.
"The administration's proposed plan, combined with provisions like the $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit in the just-enacted American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, will help minimize foreclosures, shrink housing inventory, stabilize home values, and move the country closer to an economic recovery," says NAR President Charles McMillan.
1.) Help for home owners making their payments but at risk of default and foreclosure.
Home owners with a Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac loan would be eligible to refinance as long as their mortgage doesn't exceed 105 percent of the home's current market value. Currently owners need to have at least 20 percent equity. Potential impact: 4-5 million households.
2.) Help for home owners already in default and in need of loan modification.
For lenders that voluntarily agree to lower a borrower's payment so that it makes up no more than 38 percent of the borrower's income, the government would share the cost of lowering the mortgage burden to 31 percent of income. Incentives to lenders to participate include a $1,000 payment.
Borrowers can receive up to $1,000 as an incentive to stay current on their new mortgage. Still in the works is a proposed provision that would allow bankruptcy judges to require loan modification (known as a cramdown) as part of a household's restructuring. That provision requires legislation by Congress. Estimated potential impact: 3-4 million households.
3.) Doubled resources to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
To encourage investors to buy the secondary market companies' mortgage-backed securities, the government explicitly backstops them to up to $400 billion, twice the current amount.
The plan does not provide help to investors or to home owners who are in trouble with a second home, nor does it apply to homeowners whose mortgage is part of a private-label mortgage security that is not backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.
"The administration's proposed plan, combined with provisions like the $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit in the just-enacted American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, will help minimize foreclosures, shrink housing inventory, stabilize home values, and move the country closer to an economic recovery," says NAR President Charles McMillan.
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