Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Existing-Home Sales Rise Again in January

The uptrend in existing-home sales continues, with January sales rising for the third consecutive month with a pace that is now above year-ago levels, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 2.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.36 million in January from a downwardly revised 5.22 million in December, and are 5.3 percent above the 5.09 million level in January 2010. This is the first time in seven months that sales activity was higher than a year earlier.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the improvement is good but could be better. “The uptrend in home sales is consistent with improvements in the economy and jobs, which are helping boost consumer confidence,” Yun said. “The extremely favorable housing affordability conditions are a big factor, but buyers have been constrained by unnecessarily tight credit. As a result, there are abnormally high levels of all-cash purchases, along with rising investor activity.”

A parallel NAR practitioner survey2 shows first-time buyers purchased 29 percent of homes in January, down from 33 percent in December and 40 percent in January 2010 when an extended tax credit was in place.

Investors accounted for 23 percent of purchases in January, up from 20 percent in December and 17 percent in January 2010; the balance of sales were to repeat buyers. All-cash sales rose to 32 percent in January from 29 percent in December and 26 percent in January 2010.

“Increases in all-cash transactions, the investor market share and distressed home sales all go hand-in-hand. With tight credit standards, it’s not surprising to see so much activity where cash is king and investors are taking advantage of conditions to purchase undervalued homes,” Yun said.

All-cash purchases are at the highest level since NAR started measuring these purchases monthly in October 2008, when they accounted for 15 percent of the market. The average of all-cash deals was 20 percent in 2009, rising to 28 percent last year.

The national median existing-home price3 for all housing types was $158,800 in January, down 3.7 percent from January 2010. Distressed homes edged up to a 37 percent market share in January from 36 percent in December; it was 38 percent in January 2010.

NAR President Ron Phipps, broker-president of Phipps Realty in Warwick, R.I., said the median price is being dampened by unusual market factors. “Unprecedented levels of all-cash purchases, primarily of distressed homes sold at deep discounts, undoubtedly pulls the median price downward,” Phipps said. “Given the levels of inventory we see today, we believe that traditional homes in good condition have held their value.”

Total housing inventory at the end of January fell 5.1 percent to 3.38 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 7.6-month supply4 at the current sales pace, down from an 8.2-month supply in December. The inventory supply is at the lowest level since December 2009 when there was a 7.3-month supply.

According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage rose to 4.76 percent in January from 4.71 percent in December; the rate was 5.03 percent in January 2010.

Single-family home sales rose 2.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.69 million in January from 4.58 million in December, and are 4.9 percent higher than the 4.47 million level in January 2010. The median existing single-family home price was $159,400 in January, down 2.7 percent from a year ago.

Existing condominium and co-op sales increased 4.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 670,000 in January from 640,000 in December, and are 7.9 percent above the 621,000-unit pace one year ago. The median existing condo price5 was $154,900 in January, which is 10.2 percent below January 2010.

Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast fell 4.6 percent to an annual pace of 830,000 in January from a spike in December and are 1.2 percent below January 2010. The median price in the Northeast was $236,500, which is 4.0 percent below a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the Midwest rose 1.8 percent in January to a level of 1.14 million and are 3.6 percent above a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $126,300, which is 3.2 percent below January 2010.

In the South, existing-home sales increased 3.6 percent to an annual pace of 2.02 million in January and are 8.0 percent higher than January 2010. The median price in the South was $136,600, down 2.1 percent from a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the West rose 7.9 percent to an annual level of 1.37 million in January and are 7.0 percent above January 2010. The median price in the West was $193,200, down 5.7 percent from a year ago.

The National Association of REALTORS®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1.1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

# # #

NOTE: NAR also tracks monthly comparisons of existing single-family home sales and median prices for select metropolitan statistical areas, which is posted with other tables at: www.realtor.org/research/research/ehsdata. For information on areas not included in the report, please contact the local association of REALTORS®.

1Existing-home sales, which include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, are based on transaction closings. This differs from the U.S. Census Bureau’s series on new single-family home sales, which are based on contracts or the acceptance of a deposit. Because of these differences, it is not uncommon for each series to move in different directions in the same month. In addition, existing-home sales, which generally account for 85 to 90 percent of total home sales, are based on a much larger sample – more than 40 percent of multiple listing service data each month – and typically are not subject to large prior-month revisions.

The annual rate for a particular month represents what the total number of actual sales for a year would be if the relative pace for that month were maintained for 12 consecutive months. Seasonally adjusted annual rates are used in reporting monthly data to factor out seasonal variations in resale activity. For example, home sales volume is normally higher in the summer than in the winter, primarily because of differences in the weather and family buying patterns. However, seasonal factors cannot compensate for abnormal weather patterns.

Single-family data collection began monthly in 1968, while condo data collection began quarterly in 1981; the series were combined in 1999 when monthly collection of condo data began. Prior to this period, single-family homes accounted for more than nine out of 10 purchases. Historic comparisons for total home sales prior to 1999 are based on monthly single-family sales, combined with the corresponding quarterly sales rate for condos.

Also released today are historic data revisions. Each February, NAR Research incorporates a normal review of seasonal activity factors and fine-tunes historic data for the past three years based on the most recent findings. Revisions have been made to monthly seasonally adjusted annual sales rates for 2008 through 2010, as well as the inventory month's supply data; most revisions are minor with little or no impact on previous characterizations of the overall market. There are no revisions to monthly home prices or raw inventory data (beyond normal prior-month revisions).

Note on Benchmark Revisions: All major statistical data series go through periodic reviews and revisions to ensure that sampling and methodology keep up with changes in the market, such as population changes in sampled areas, to ensure accuracy; we have been examining the existing-home sales data for any issues since late 2010. NAR began its normal process for benchmarking sales earlier this year; there will be no change to median prices. In the past we’ve benchmarked to the decennial Census, most recently to the 2000 Census, because it included home sales data. However, the data are no longer included in the Census, so we’re looking at more frequent benchmarking using a new approach with independent sources to improve our process and modeling. As always, we are consulting with various outside housing economists, government agencies and academic experts for a consensus on the methodology; NAR is committed to providing accurate, reliable data. Publication of the revisions is expected this summer.

2Distressed sales, first-time buyers, investors, all-cash transactions and data for contract cancellations, etc., are from a survey for the REALTORS® Confidence Index, scheduled to be posted March 14.

3The only valid comparisons for median prices are with the same period a year earlier due to the seasonality in buying patterns. Month-to-month comparisons do not compensate for seasonal changes, especially for the timing of family buying patterns. Changes in the composition of sales can distort median price data. Year-ago median and mean prices sometimes are revised in an automated process if more data is received than was originally reported.

4Total inventory and month’s supply data are available back through 1999, while single-family inventory and month's supply are available back to 1982 (prior to 1999, condos were measured quarterly while single-family sales accounted for more than 90 percent of transactions).

5Because there is a concentration of condos in high-cost metro areas, the national median condo price generally is higher than the median single-family price. In a given market area, condos typically cost less than single-family homes.

Existing-home sales for February will be released March 21, the Pending Home Sales Index for February is scheduled for March 28, and the 2010 Vacation and Investment Home study will be published March 30; release times are 10:00 a.m. EDT.

Information about NAR is available atwww.realtor.org. This and other news releases are posted in the News Media section. Statistical data in this release, other tables and surveys also may be found by clicking on Research.

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

8 Tips for Adding Curb Appeal

Curb appeal has always been important for home sellers. With the vast majority of today’s home buyers starting their search on the Internet, the appearance of your property is more critical than ever. You only have a few seconds to catch their attention as they scroll through listings online to get them to stop and take a closer look.

But the role of curb appeal goes beyond just making a good first impression. The way your house looks from the street can impact its value. It can also shorten the time it takes to sell your house.

We asked real estate agents, appraisers, home stagers, landscape designers, and home inspectors which curb appeal projects offer the most value when your house is on the market, both in terms of its marketability and dollars. Here is what they told us:

1. Paint the house.
Hands down, the most commonly offered curb appeal advice from our real estate pros and appraisers is to give the exterior of your home a good paint job. Buyers will instantly notice it and appraisers will note it on the valuation.

“Paint is probably the number one thing inside and out,” says Frank Lucco, managing partner of Houston-based IRR-Residential Appraisers and Consultants. “I’d give additional value for that. If you’re under two years remaining life (on the paint job), paint the exterior because it tends to show wear badly.”

Just make sure you stay within the range of accepted colors for your market. A house that’s painted a wildly different color from its competition will be marked down in value by appraisers.

2. Have the house washed.
Before you make the investment in a paint job, though, take a good look at the house. If it’s got mildew or general grunge, just washing the house could make a world of difference, says Valerie Torelli, a California real estate agent with a background in accounting.

Torelli specifies pressure-washing—a job that should be left to professionals. Pressure washing makes the house look “bright and clean in addition to getting rid of unsightly things like cobwebs, which may not be seen from the yard but will detract from the home’s cleanliness when seen up close,” she says.

The cost to have a professional cleaning should be a few hundred dollars—a fraction of the cost of having the house painted.

3. Trim the shrubs and green up the yard.
California real estate agent Valerie Torelli says she puts a lot of emphasis on landscaping, such as cutting down overgrown bushes and replacing them with leafy plants and annuals mulched with beautiful reddish-brown bark. “It runs me $30 to $50,” says Torelli. “Do you get a return on your money? Absolutely. It sucks people in.”

You also don’t want bare spots. Take the time to fertilize the yard, throw out some grass seed, and if need be, add some sod.

4. Add a splash of color.
It could be a flower bed of annuals by the mailbox, a paint job for the front door, or a brightly colored bench or an Adirondack chair. “You can get a cute little bench at Home Depot for $99,“ Torelli notes. “Spray paint it bright red or blue and set it in the yard or on the front porch.”

It’s not a bad idea, but don’t plan on getting extra points from an appraiser for a red bench, says John Bredemeyer, president of Realcorp in Omaha. “It’s difficult to quantify, but it does make a home sell more quickly,” Bredemeyer says. “Maybe yours sold a couple weeks faster than the house down the street. That’s the best way to look at these things.”

5. Add a fancy mailbox and house numbers.
An upscale mail box and architectural house numbers or an address plaque can give your house a distinctive look that stands out from everyone else on the block. Torelli makes them a part of her exterior makeovers “I’ve gotten those hand-painted mailboxes,” she says. “A nice one runs you $40 to $50.” Architectural house numbers may run as high as a few hundred dollars.

6. Repair or clean the roof.
Springfield, Va.-based home inspector and former builder Reggie Marston says the roof is one of the first things he looks at in assessing the condition of a home. He’ll look at other houses in the neighborhood to see if there are a lot of replaced roofs and see if the subject house has one as well. If not, he’ll look for curls in the shingles or missing shingles. “I’m looking at the roof for end-of-life expectancy,” he says.

You can pay for roof repairs now, or pay for them later in a lower appraisal; appraisers will mark down the value by the cost of the repair. That could knock thousands of dollars off your appraisal. According to Remodeling Magazine’s 2010-2011 Cost vs. Value Report, the average cost of a new asphalt shingle roof is about $21,500.

“Roofs are issues,” Lucco says. “You won’t throw money away on that job. You gotta have a decent roof.”

Stains and plant matter, such as moss, can be handled with cleaning. It’s a job that can often be done in a day for a few hundred dollars, and makes the roof look like new. It’s not a DIY project; call a professional with the right tools to clean it without damaging it.

7. Put up a fence.
A picket fence with a garden gate to frame the yard is an asset. A fence has more impact in a family-oriented neighborhood than an upscale retirement community, Bredemeyer says, but in most instances, appraisers will give extra value for one, as long as it’s in good condition. “Day in a day out, a fence is a plus,“ Bredemeyer says. Expect to pay $2,000 to $3,500 for a professionally installed gated picket fence 3 feet high and 100 feet long.

8. Perform routine maintenance and cleaning.
Nothing sets off subconscious alarms like hanging gutters, missing bricks from the front steps, or lawn tools rusting in the bushes. It makes even the professionals question what else hasn’t been taken care of.

“A house is worth less if the maintenance isn’t done,” Lucco says. “Those little things can add up and be a very big detractor. When people say, ‘I’d buy it if it weren’t for all the deferred maintenance,’ what they’re really saying is, ‘I’d still buy it if you reduce the price.’”

Georgia-based freelance writer Pat Curry has covered housing and real estate for consumer and trade publications for more than a decade, including covering new home sales and marketing for BUILDER, the magazine of the National Association of Home Builders.



Read more: http://www.houselogic.com/articles/8-tips-adding-curb-appeal-and-value-your-home/#ixzz1E8SV9mAI

Monday, February 14, 2011

Your Guide to Outdoor Maintenace

In the South, high heat, excessive humidity, and driving rains can punish your home’s exterior and other outdoor features on your property. By performing regular inspections and preventative outdoor maintenance, a homeowner can avoid much pricier repairs down the road. Here are some of the key areas that certified home inspectors focus on when examining the exterior of a house and surrounding property.

Grading
Maintaining a proper grade or slope away from the home is crucial. But the South’s clay-heavy soils can pose challenges to that endeavor, says Bob McDonough, a certified home inspector with Atlanta’s National Property Inspections.

“Clay soil shrinks when it dries out, causing the earth to separate from the foundation,” he explains. Water that seeps into those cavities can find its way into basements. If it freezes, it can cause cracks in the foundation.

Prevention can be as simple as filling these gaps with soil as soon as they appear. If the soil surrounding the foundation doesn’t slope away from the home, additional fill dirt may need to be brought in. Neglecting this task can be expensive: $3,000 or more to stabilize a bowed block foundation, and more than $10,000 to replace it.

Doors and windows
Leaky doors and windows not only decrease a home’s comfort and efficiency, they can invite moisture, insects and rot, says McDonough. Routinely check caulking and weather stripping to ensure tight seals. Inspect wood sills and trim for peeling paint, insect damage, and moisture penetration.

Fogging in double-pane windows is a sign that the seal has failed, resulting in the loss of insulating qualities. The window will need to be repaired or replaced. Cracked window panes, missing storms, and ripped screens should be replaced or repaired.

Decks
Decks on Southern homes are often 20 to 30 feet off the ground due to hilly terrain, notes Earl Beahm, president of the Atlanta chapter of the National Association of Certified Home Inspectors. For that reason, safety is paramount. Check to see that railings and stairs are firm and secure. Closely inspect the bolts that connect the deck to the house.

Hammer or screw popped nails and screws back in place. Posts need to be monitored for rot at the soil line. Wood decks benefit from annual cleanings and sealing.

Septic systems
Just because septic systems are underground doesn’t mean they can’t be monitored from the surface. Trouble typically presents itself in the form of foul odors and visible seepage. An average family of four should have their system inspected and pumped every three to five years.

Air conditioning & heat pump
Air conditioners get a lot of use down South, so it’s important to keep them in peak condition. Leaves, debris, and shrubbery allowed to grow too close to the unit can decrease the system’s efficiency, notes Patrick Cloninger, a certified home inspector with Knoxville’s Pinpoint Home Inspections. Remove loose debris and yard waste, and cut back shrubbery so that it’s at least 2 feet away from the unit.

Check to ensure that the concrete pad is level, as a shifting base can damage the unit. Inspect the insulation on the copper refrigerant line, which prevents condensation and increases efficiency. Get the system serviced by a pro every couple years.

Irrigation systems & spigots
In spring, sprinkler heads should be checked for proper working condition. A weak or nonfunctioning sprinkler is likely a sign of a split line or popped connection.

With the system running, examine that all areas of the landscape are receiving equal amounts of spray. Heads that are spraying excessive amounts of water on driveways and sidewalks should be adjusted or replaced. Cost: $3 to $15 per replaced head, $2 to $5 for a coupling to repair a leak. Allow two hours to check the system.

A hard freeze often catches Southerners unprepared. In spring, take care that garden hoses are disconnected in the event of sudden frost. In the fall, exterior spigots should be drained and garden hoses disconnected and stowed. Homeowners with automatic lawn sprinkler systems should drain the lines and shut off the water source. Water that’s left in the lines and allowed to freeze can crack hoses or burst pipes.

Fences and gates
Wood fences generally require more attention than their chain-link and vinyl counterparts. Every other year or so the wood should be painted or sealed, unless the wood is left to weather naturally.

All wooden fences should be inspected for rot and insect damage every few months. Popped boards need to be nailed back in place; warped ones should be replaced. Pay special attention to posts, which are susceptible to rot.

Although largely maintenance free, chain-link and vinyl fences should be examined regularly for proper functioning. A sagging panel, crooked door hinge, or misaligned latch likely signals a shifting post. The South’s clay-heavy soils have a tendency to expand and contract with changes in moisture content, putting pressure on fence posts. The cost of replacing a post is $7.50 to $15 for a 5-foot cedar post.

Vinyl fences will need to be cleaned at least once a year. Throughout the growing season, remove vegetation with a trimmer along the base of the fence to prevent damage from climbing weeds.

Garages and outbuildings
Vegetation should be pruned at least 3 feet away from buildings to prevent mold, pest infestation, or damage to siding from high winds. Large tree limbs should be trimmed to prevent them from touching the structure. Cost: $15 for a pruning saw and $10 for pruning shears. Allow 1 to 2 hours for pruning.

Inspect the underside of garage and outbuilding roofs for water damage, which can point the way to a roof leak. Small cracks in the foundation should be filled with the appropriate caulk. Maintain a proper grade around the buildings to ensure sufficient drainage. This may require the addition of soil.

Twice a year, check the automatic reverse safety feature on the garage door to make sure it works properly, urges Cloninger. Check to see that the door has no bent casters and that it rolls smoothly in the tracks. Perform a visual check of bolts for snugness. In the case of attached garages, proper weather stripping at the base of the door can greatly improve a home’s energy efficiency.



Read more: http://www.houselogic.com/articles/your-guide-outdoor-maintenance-south/#ixzz1DxJZ28uo

Friday, February 11, 2011

Mortgage rates continue upward climb

Freddie Mac says 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rates averaged 5.05 percent this week, up from 4.8 percent last week. That’s the highest rate since April.

A 15-year fixed mortgage averaged 4.29 percent, up from 4.08 percent last week.

Adjustable-rate mortgages also rose with a one-year ARM averaging 3.35 percent.

“Long-term bond yields jumped on positive economic-data reports, which placed upward pressure on mortgage rates this week,” says Frank Nothaft, chief economist at Freddie Mac (OTCBB:FOMC).

Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors says the median price of an existing home rose in most cities during the fourth quarter. That wasn’t the case in Charlotte for January. The Charlotte Regional Realtor Association the average sales price was $188,147 in January, down 3 percent from December.

Charlotte Business Journal
Date: Friday, February 11, 2011, 9:39am EST

Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Kannapolis' Center City Master Plan Unveiled

After months of thoughtful development, the City of Kannapolis is ready to release its new Center City Master Plan. This document has been prepared to provide the City of Kannapolis with a prioritized set of goals for the ongoing development and revitalization of the Center City.

Beginning with a joint meeting of the Kannapolis City Council and Planning Commission, this document will be shared with the public during a few different public input sessions. For more information on these sessions, contact Planning Director Ben Warren.

The plan and its recommendations are intended to complement and support, not supplant, other efforts that the City has undertaken in the furtherance of the redevelopment of the area following the departure of Pillowtex and the establishment of the North Carolina Research Campus.

The Center City has experienced drastic changes in the past decade. Once home to the expansive Cannon Mills textile manufacturing complex (later Pillowtex) and a thriving retail/factory outlet base that focused on home furnishings and textiles, today’s Center City is an emerging hub for scientific research.

This transformation has dramatically changed the face of the Center City. No longer is the landscape dominated by industrial buildings with their smokestacks towering over the mill houses that lie in their shadow, no longer do hundreds of cars drive in and out of the Center City at shift change, and no longer do the streets bustle with shoppers seeking bargains on high quality textiles and home furnishings. There is new energy around the emergent NC Research Campus in Center City and new priorities are required to support its development and success.

This plan will be used to focus the efforts of the City on those projects and issues that can make the most positive impacts on the future of Center City. And like all good plans, this is a living document that will need to be evaluated and updated as time passes to account for changing realities in the economy, City priorities and to account for the growth of the Center City.

To read the plan, please click here
http://www.cityofkannapolis.com/article_2011_01_28/CenterCityMasterPlanDraft20110126.pdf

Tuesday, February 8, 2011

New-Home Recovery Seen as Post-Super Bowl Selling Season Starts

Homebuilder executives and economists predict a post-Super Bowl bounce in demand for residential construction as Americans turn their attention from football to another national pastime: house hunting.

The chief executive officers of six of the 10 largest U.S. homebuilders cited the potential of a sales comeback in the spring, traditionally their strongest season, during conference calls in the last four weeks. Housing forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association show the new-home market will begin a rebound that will last through at least 2012.

A revival in demand for new houses after record-low sales in 2010 may bolster a U.S. economy that’s 19 months into a recovery. Residential construction is a key factor in gross domestic product because it requires the manufacturing of home components such as stoves, cement, tile and furnaces. Richard DeKaser, an economist at Boston-based Parthenon Group, said he expects the homebuilding industry will this year make its first positive contribution to GDP since 2005.

“The spring market is going to be the first test of the proposition that there’s an underlying improvement in new-home fundamentals,” DeKaser said in an interview. “If we don’t see the needle move, it will be very discouraging.”

New-home sales probably will rise 20 percent to 385,000 this year, said David Crowe, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders in Washington. Fannie Mae, the world’s largest mortgage buyer, projected an 18 percent gain, and the Mortgage Bankers Association estimated a 10 percent advance, according to forecasts posted on their websites.

‘Much Better’ Season

D.R. Horton Inc., the second-biggest builder by revenue, is “locked and loaded” to meet an upswing in demand, Chief Executive Donald Tomnitz said on a Jan. 27 conference call. The 62-year-old CEO, a former banker and U.S. Army captain not known for rosy predictions, said he is “anticipating a much better spring selling season” than last year.

The optimism couldn’t have come at a darker moment for the new-home market. The number of newly constructed houses sold per month fell to 20,000 in November, the fewest of any time in 47 years of Commerce Department data. The tax credit that boosted sales at the start of last year is gone, and cut-rate prices on foreclosures are drawing buyers to existing properties.

Tougher loan requirements by banks may also limit demand. At 2010’s end, lenders tightened mortgage credit standards by the most in three years, according to the Federal Reserve Senior Loan Officer Survey. Borrowing costs also are on the rise after the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage fell to a record 4.17 percent in November, based on data from Freddie Mac.

After Super Bowl

Spring is a popular time to buy because house hunters often want to have their home finished by July or August, before the start of the U.S. school year in September, said John Burns, CEO of John Burns Real Estate Consulting Inc. in Irvine, California. The weekend after the Super Bowl is traditionally when prospective buyers start looking, he said in an interview.

“If that’s a good weekend for the builders, then we’re going to have a good spring, and if we have a good spring, we’ll have a good year,” Burns said. “That’s the way it’s played out for years.”

In 12 of the last 14 years, the annual peak in new-home sales occurred in March or April, according to Commerce Department data. The exceptions were 2003, when the March start of the Iraq War captured Americans’ attention and caused people to delay house hunting, and 2009, when the tax credit that originally expired in November boosted demand later in the year.

Sales are counted by the Commerce Department at the time of contract, while homebuilders book revenue once the transaction is completed.

Good, Not Great

“The contracts the builders will be writing in the next few weekends will be a leading indicator of their closings for later in the year,” Burns said. “It’s probably going to be a good year -- not a great year.”

Residential investment probably will increase 9.6 percent in 2011 after five years of declines, based on the median forecast of 30 economists at a Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago symposium in December. Housing starts likely will jump 17 percent to a three-year high of 688,000 in 2011, led by a gain in the construction of single-family houses, said Crowe of the National Association of Home Builders.

“The sales pace for new homes will improve as we move through the spring, unless something comes along to derail the economy,” said James Wilson, director of research for JMP Securities LLC in New York. “Demand seems to be coming back.”

Economic Contribution

The real estate market’s collapse reduced residential investment’s share of the economy to 2.2 percent in 2010’s fourth quarter, the lowest since records began in 1946, from a 55-year peak of 6.3 percent in the last three months of 2005, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Housing that year was a larger contributor to GDP than national defense spending.

A rise in homebuilding will help boost jobs for workers who construct houses and also for people in industries supplying the appliances that go into them. About 430,000 residential building jobs evaporated after the housing crash began in 2006 -- a 43 percent decline in four years -- while appliance manufacturing jobs fell 17 percent in the same period, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The overall economy lost 7.8 million jobs, or 5.7 percent of the workforce, after reaching a 2007 high.

The drop in values after the crash will create roadblocks for potential buyers who have their own properties to sell, said Thomas Lawler, a housing consultant in Leesburg, Virginia.

Price Decline

Home prices in December were 27 percent below the all-time high of July 2006, according to the National Association of Realtors. That has resulted in about a quarter of homeowners with mortgages owing more than their property is worth, according to CoreLogic Inc. in Santa Ana, California.

“Traditionally, one of the strongest parts of the new-home market is the trade-up buyer,” Lawler said in an interview. “A lot of people who would like to trade up don’t have equity in their homes.”

For those who are able to move, and can sell their current residence, new houses have a draw that existing homes don’t have, according to Parthenon’s DeKaser. They fulfill the dream of many people to build from the ground up, he said.

“That’s the strongest thing this segment has going for it -- some people attach a premium to having a home that no one else has lived in, with all new walls and new floors,” he said. “Even if they can get an existing home for cheaper, they’re willing to pay the price for new.”

Source: Bloomberg Businessweek